Risk & Position Sizing
Build position sizes from drawdown math, realistic trading costs, and uncertainty in backtest results before applying Kelly.
- 01
Mar 1, 2026 #risk managementLoss-Profit Asymmetry: The Math That Kills Your Deposit
Why losing 50% requires 100% growth to recover, how volatility drag destroys capital even in sideways markets, and which formulas every algo trader must know for building risk management.
- 02
Jul 23, 2026 #slippageSlippage curves, not slippage constants: cost models that survive contact with live trading
Replace constant-bps slippage with size, volatility and liquidity-dependent cost curves: the square-root law, fitting curves from TCA fills or public data, regime stress multipliers, and why your strategy leaderboard reshuffles.
- 03
Mar 6, 2026 #algotradingMonte Carlo Bootstrap: How to Get Confidence Intervals for a Backtest in 10 Lines of Code
Why a single-point estimate from a backtest is a dangerous illusion. How Monte Carlo bootstrap in 2 seconds of computation gives you a 95% confidence interval for PnL and MaxDD, and why this is a mandatory step before launching a strategy in production.
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Jun 23, 2026 #risk managementThe Kelly Criterion for Strategies: How to Size Positions and Allocate Capital
A strategy with positive expected value can still blow up your account if you get the bet size wrong. We walk through the Kelly criterion from deriving the formula to a portfolio of strategies: why full Kelly is dangerous, how fractional Kelly captures 75% of the growth at half the volatility, and an interactive calculator that shows how the Kelly fraction moves return and risk.